Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000181 0.000203 0.000226 0.000252 0.000282 0.000313 0.000350
2025-06-22 0.000148 0.000177 0.000209 0.000249 0.000296 0.000349 0.000416
2025-06-29 0.000127 0.000160 0.000200 0.000251 0.000314 0.000391 0.000491
2025-07-06 0.000110 0.000146 0.000191 0.000251 0.000330 0.000430 0.000565
2025-07-13 0.000096 0.000133 0.000181 0.000248 0.000340 0.000461 0.000631
2025-07-20 0.000088 0.000126 0.000179 0.000255 0.000363 0.000510 0.000725
2025-07-27 0.000079 0.000119 0.000174 0.000257 0.000379 0.000550 0.000809
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000111 0.000168 0.000257 0.000391 0.000585 0.000888
2025-08-10 0.000065 0.000104 0.000162 0.000255 0.000399 0.000615 0.000961
2025-08-17 0.000060 0.000099 0.000158 0.000257 0.000414 0.000655 0.001051
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000092 0.000152 0.000253 0.000419 0.000679 0.001120
2025-08-31 0.000050 0.000087 0.000147 0.000252 0.000428 0.000711 0.001200
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000083 0.000144 0.000252 0.000440 0.000750 0.001299
2025-09-14 0.000042 0.000078 0.000139 0.000251 0.000448 0.000782 0.001389
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000075 0.000137 0.000254 0.000465 0.000831 0.001511
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000072 0.000134 0.000255 0.000478 0.000874 0.001626
2025-10-05 0.000034 0.000068 0.000130 0.000252 0.000484 0.000905 0.001721
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000066 0.000131 0.000259 0.000509 0.000970 0.001884
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000064 0.000129 0.000261 0.000524 0.001020 0.002022
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000061 0.000126 0.000261 0.000535 0.001062 0.002147
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000058 0.000122 0.000259 0.000541 0.001095 0.002258
2025-11-09 0.000025 0.000056 0.000121 0.000261 0.000556 0.001146 0.002408
2025-11-16 0.000023 0.000053 0.000117 0.000257 0.000559 0.001173 0.002510